The American political scene will soon begin preparing yet again for a potential head-to-head match-up between two very recognizable figures — former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden, as the United States of America steers into their approach to 2024s presidential elections. Like the 2020 election, this story is bound to be contentious and divisive (or even more so). This high-stakes political contest, like all others taking place this election year, will be determined by a number of factors including voter sentiment, campaign strategies, key issues, and outside influences.
Excerpt: Public Opinion and History
Sentiment of voters is more important to become predictable about the results in 2024 (PTI) Biden won his victory in 2020 largely through suburban voters, blacks and minorities, as well as disaffected Republicans unhappy with Trump’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic and behaviour of President, but Biden too has faced economic downturn and inflation troubles, as well as opposition on these fronts and others in foreign policy which may sway the midterms of 2024.
That inability to afford college would impact anyone, but historical context is essential. Incumbents have a significant advantage, historically speaking — but Biden’s approval ratings are lower than normal. The national poll results indicate a divided electorate, with many voters indicating they are not particularly pleased about either Biden or Trump leading. It is another clear example of just how competitive the race could be;
Key Issues and Campaign Strategies
How the candidates wage their campaigns will be crucial. This means that Trump can, and in all likelihood will continue to harness the power of his base by doubling down on economic nationalism; a crackdown on immigration; and reverting back to doing at least some things according what he is familiar calling “America First”. Or his campaign could continue to focus on voter fraud in 2020 and just feed into the narrative of an illegitimate president, trying to rekindle resistance from supporters who are sceptical over what took place.
By contrast, Biden’s campaign will probably tout other accomplishments like the bipartisan infrastructure bill and climate change initiatives as well as economic stimulus measures. Biden could also emphasize his style of leadership as a contrast to President Donald Trump, focusing on stability and competence.
Issues facing the election include:
Macro-Economic Stability and Price Levels:
Inflation and the economy are very big concerns for voters. “Both of them will have to put together a cogent case, and the president would say look at these new economic policies that were announced yesterday or today,” Devine said adding Biden needs “a recovery message.”
Healthcare and COVID-19:
Although the acute pandemic threat has diminished, healthcare as an issue remains top of mind. Biden is expected to highlight the administration’s continuation of managing pandemic response and expanding healthcare coverage, with Trump potentially pointing out perceived failures in these areas as well promoting ideas for his own system.
Immigration:
The debate will also rage on over immigration policy. Trump’s more hardline position may play well with his base, where Biden will fall probably somewhere between border security and humane considerations.
Ongoing Environmental Policy and Climate Change:
Putting this front and center, it is expected to be a key issue for younger voters also those who hand the earth onto future generations. The Biden administration has made a number of moves to combat climate change, which he is expected highlight in his campaign. Trump, on the other hand may look towards deregulation and economic effects.
Civil Rights and Social Issues:
For example, hot-button issues such as abortion rights, gun control, and LGBTQ+ right are probably going to be polarized. Biden’s emphasis on advancing civil rights protection and enlargement could draw support from progressive voters, while Trump may invest in a cultural appeal heavily shoring up conservative values generally (again as typified by the potential for many future judicial appointments).
External Influences
The fact remains that other externalities — global events and crises unbeknownst to many months beforehand — will heavily influence the ultimate result of this election. An example might be the impact of ongoing geopolitical disputes — such as in Ukraine or with China — on how voters perceive whether Biden is doing a good job dealing with foreign policy. Even under a cloud like that, downturns or major domestic incidents could persuade people.
The importance of media and social media cannot be denied. We also experienced record highs of misinformation/disinformation taking place in conjunction with, or through, social media platforms during the 2020 election cycle. Both Do and White will have to successfully run this media gauntlet, mobilizing voters while fending off conspiracy theories.
Scenarios and Forecasts
Because of the way politics is now, we can imagine some outcomes.
Biden’s Re-Election:
Biden faces economic difficulties but he could win a strong sense of re-election if manages his epistemological environments and presents the work provided by his administration. In this case, Biden would probably need to retain the coalition he built in 2020 but also appeal to swing voters and centrists.
Trump’s Comeback:
The president’s stubborn base is as powerful as ever. If he widens his reach and seizes on any short-term failures of the Biden administration, it might just work. Probably a heavy dose of populist rhetoric and an all-out effort to turn out the vote in those crucial swing states.
A Third-Party Disruption:
However, a viable independent could disrupt the dynamics of this election given that typically third parties have played only dubious roles in U.S. politics due to its binary nature (and as we will see later) but again: no certainties. That candidate might eat into the vote for either Biden or Trump, adding even more chaotic uncertainty to the outcome.
Legal and Health Issues:
Which of the two candidates ends up facing legal and health hurdles remains to be seen. Trump’s legal troubles could well impeach his campaign, while the age and health of Biden will become a key narrative in this election. All these factors contribute to potentially intriguing plot twists during the campaign.
Conclusion
It appears the 2024 presidential election could turn out to be among, if not THEE most pivotal/interesting elections in modern times. The stakes are hugely consequential, particularly if Trump and Biden face off again in 2024. Both candidates will have to deal with the key issues on voters minds—and wend their way through a labyrinthine media landscape—while reacting to outside occurrences that can shift public perception.
In the end, this all comes down to how well each candidate is able to articulate their vision for America’s future and rally behind it both voters from its own base and critical swing voter that will decide who moves into the White House next. With the election just days away, of course it will make more specific predictions difficult, and makes everything all the more exciting and scary.
